Advocating on Behalf of the American Military and Defense on the War on Terror

Generic Congressional Ballot: Democrats By Two

Tuesday, February 17, 2009

After an intense partisan debate over the newly passed $787 billion economic stimulus bill, Republicans and Democrats remain almost even in this week’s edition of the Generic Congressional Ballot.

Rasmussen Reports national telephone surveys found that 41% of voters said they would vote for their district’s Democratic candidate while 39% said they would choose the Republican.

Voters are also evenly divided as to whether they are more likely to vote for a candidate who supported the stimulus plan. Support for the Democrats increased by one point this week, while support for the GOP remained unchanged.

Last week’s results showed the closest match-up between the parties since 2005. Over the past year, Democratic support has ranged from a low of 40% to a high of 50%. In that same time period, Republicans have been preferred by 34% to 41% of voters nationwide.

Other survey data shows a decided lack of confidence in Congress. Most voters say that the legislators are doing a poor job. By a two-to-one margin, voters say that no matter how bad things are, Congress can make them worse.

On the generic ballot, men are more evenly divided this week, favoring the GOP by a 41% to 39% margin while women favor the Democratic Party 44% to 37%. White voters still favor the GOP, 45% to 36%, while black voters heavily favor Barack Obama’s party by a 73% to 14% margin.

Among investors, 44% say they would chose their GOP candidate, while 36% would vote Democratic. Non-investors prefer Democrats by a 50% to 30% margin.