The left-leaning Zogby poll has new numbers out this weekend. Since Senator McCain added Governor Palin to the ticket, McCain now leads Obama 47 percent to 45 percent.
While statistically even (given the margin of error) Zogby's polling shows that Sarah Palin is the buzz-killer for the Democrats.
Pollster John Zogby: "Palin is not to be underestimated. Her real strength is that she is authentic, a real mom, an outdoors person, a small town mayor (hey, she has dealt with a small town city council - that alone could be preparation for staring down Vladimir Putin, right?). She is also a reformer."
"A very important demographic in this election is going to be the politically independent woman, 15% of whom in our latest survey are undecided."
"In the final analysis, this election will be about Obama vs. McCain. Obama has staked out ground as the new JFK - a new generation, literally and figuratively, a new face of America to the world, a man who can cross lines and work with both sides. But McCain is the modern day Harry Truman - with lots of DC experience, he knows what is wrong and dysfunctional with Washington and how to fix it, and he has chosen a running mate who is about as far away from Washington as he could find.
"This contest is likely to be very close until the weekend before the election - then the dam may break and support may flood one way or the other."
Meanwhile, the Gallup poll has Obama up eight points as he enjoys a post- convention bubble.
But for how long? I think the Gallup polling is lagging behind the real numbers as Gallup tends to over-sample Democrats and under-sample Republicans.
The next couple of weeks are very very important for the GOP due to Hurricane Gustav and all the political oxygen gets sucked up as the storm bears down on the hapless Southern states.
The GOP should turn the convention floor into a Red Cross relief center, and immediately begin a web-based telethon on UStream.tv to raise money for the victims (should the storm slam the Gulf Coast as predicted.)
Just my two cents.